| About Wind Power Statistics | |
| This page will hopefully
clarify what the Wind Power statistics on the front page mean.
Current Wind Power: This statistic shows how
much energy could be produced in 1 hour (assuming the wind speed remained constant). I decided to give this as a range
derived from the current wind speed and wind gust figures. The
highest hourly value for this that occurred over the day is also given and is based on the Today's
Highest Wind figure. The model for equating these wind
power values is given by the function: Example: Moving on...this figure represents the approximate amount of wind
energy produced in 1 hour by a wind turbine with 5m blades at a
constant hourly wind speed of 5 m/s. In New York State, this
would be equal to approximately $0.30/hr in savings2.
Carrying this out over a year (holding wind speed and cost of
electricity constant), this is then equal to $2,600 in annual savings
and possibly profit. Of course, assuming that an instantaneous measured
wind speed is constant over a year (or even a day) is unrealistic. The
next section discusses how a more realistic estimate can be found. Wind Power Today: This statistic shows a rough estimate of the total amount of potential wind power that could be produced during the day. It is derived from the daily-averaged wind speed and multiplied by 24 hours (since wattage is power over only 1 hour). This figure, without any further calculation, is likely to be an underestimate, though, as high wind speeds (even if they occur only occasionally) carry a much greater weight than lower wind speeds. This is due to the fact that we cube the wind speed when calculating wind power; thus, a wind speed of 5m/s results in 76.563W/m2 while a wind speed only twice as fast at 10m/s results in 612.500W/m2, almost a ten-fold increase! Ideally, frequencies of the varying wind speeds over the day would be fitted to a frequency distribution, and the Wind Power Today figure would take this distribution into account, yielding a more accurate result. Unfortunately, I do not yet have an easy way to calculate this frequency distribution in real-time, so to find a reasonable estimate, I have made a few additional calculations based on historical frequency distributions. To give a better idea of this distribution, I have offered an example3 in the graph below:
As you can see, this graph gives the power (P) as calculated by the distribution to be 37 W/m2. If one simply uses the average speed (U), 2.7m/s, and calculates as shown in the example from earlier, we would get 12.056 W/m2, which is significantly underestimated (in fact, it is more than 3 times smaller). Hence, in seeking decent estimates over time, one must take this wind speed distribution into account. Using my formula (estimated from historical data) to correct for this, I find the potential wind power for this example to be 39.886, only a slight overestimate. Over a day, this would amount to 957.266 W/m2. Have your own data? Notes: |
Swept area |